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Trump Leads in Farm Futures' Presidential Poll
USAgNet - 01/21/2016

Farm Futures magazine reports that the nationwide frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination also topped the latest Farm Futures surveys among farmers in both the U.S. and Iowa. The publication surveyed farmers from Dec. 7 to Jan. 4, including more than 400 from Iowa, where 37% of those favoring a Republican said they would vote for Donald Trump "if the election were held today." Trump's support among GOP farmers was even stronger at 39% from farmers outside Iowa, which holds its first-in-the-nation caucuses Feb. 1.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz finished second, with 29% in Iowa and 20% elsewhere among farmers. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio was third, with 12% in Iowa and elsewhere while former surgeon Ben Carson was fourth at 6% and 10% respectively.

Trump's support grew among farmers since the magazine first surveyed growers in August, when he attracted support from around 20% of all those surveyed. That survey was topped by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who had a small lead among farmers. That wasn't enough for Walker, who quickly dropped out of the race.

The Farm Futures survey is dominated by commercial-sized, full-time farmers with a majority of the response coming from the Midwest. If reflects thinking of the largest 10% of the more than 2 million operations officially counted as farms by USDA.

Around 85% or more of these growers typically vote for Republican candidates at the presidential level. Among those favoring Democrats, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was the clear choice. She gathered 78% of the support in Iowa, compared to 20% for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. Outside Iowa Clinton's margin among Democrats was a little less but still large at 71% to 22%. Vice-President Joe Biden, who is not running, was favored by 8% of Democrat farmers nationwide, but got only 2% in Iowa.

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